Our NBA predictions today cover all six games tonight, which tip off between 02:30 and 06:00 SAST on Wednesday 11 November 2026 (Tuesday night in the United States). The two strong picks are the Knicks at home to the Bucks, 90 percent, and the Heat at the Jazz, 79 percent. The headline game, Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics, is a coin flip: we edge Boston at 52 percent, while the bookmakers lean slightly the other way.
NBA predictions today: all six picks
Tip-off times are South African time on Wednesday 11 November. Strong means 70 percent and above, good means 55 to 69 percent, and close means under 55 percent.
| Tip-off (SAST) | Game | Our pick | Band |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks | Knicks, 90% | Strong |
| 03:00 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics | Celtics, 52% | Close |
| 04:00 | Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers | Suns, 62% | Good |
| 04:00 | Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat | Heat, 79% | Strong |
| 05:00 | Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic | Magic, 67% | Good |
| 06:00 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder | Thunder, 54% | Close |
| Six games | Two strong, two good, two close |
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How we set the numbers
For NBA games our confidence figure is the Sportradar win probability for the side we back, rounded to a whole number. It is the same method we used for our opening-night NBA picks. Where bookmaker moneylines were published, we show them alongside, converted to decimal odds, so you can see whether the market agrees. Probabilities were checked on the morning of Tuesday 10 November and will move before tip-off. Basketball has no draw: a pick is graded on the final score, including overtime.
Knicks vs Bucks prediction
Pick: New York Knicks, 90 percent (strong). Tip-off is 02:30 SAST at Madison Square Garden. FanDuel lists the Knicks at -1205 (decimal 1.08) and the Bucks at +750 (8.50), with New York giving 15.5 points. With the margin removed, that is the Knicks at about 89 percent, so the market and the model agree.
- Form: the Knicks are 5-4 and have won three in a row. The Bucks are 1-9 and on a six-game losing run, most recently a 117-97 home defeat to Boston on Sunday.
- Team news: previews list Josh Hart as questionable with an ankle problem for New York. Tyler Herro (knee) and Gary Trent Jr. (illness) are questionable for Milwaukee, and Herro is their top scorer at 21.4 points a game.
- Key players: Jalen Brunson averages 26.2 points and Karl-Anthony Towns 20.9 points and 13.6 rebounds.
This is the strongest pick of the night, but at 1.08 the straight win is close to no value on its own. It works best as one leg of a double.
76ers vs Celtics prediction
Pick: Boston Celtics, 52 percent (close). Tip-off is 03:00 SAST at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, between the top two teams in the East. Sportradar makes Boston 52.2 percent. The bookmakers lean slightly the other way: FanDuel has the 76ers at -112 (1.89) and the Celtics at -104 (1.96), and DraftKings has Philadelphia at -109 and Boston at +109. Margin removed, that is roughly 51 to 52 percent for the 76ers.
- Form: Philadelphia are 9-2, their best start since 2000-01, and have won four of their last five. Boston are 8-2 and have won three straight and eight of their last nine.
- The storyline: it is the first regular-season meeting between Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum since Boston traded Brown to Philadelphia. The last meeting was Game 7 of last season’s first round, which the 76ers won 109-100 in Boston after trailing the series 3-1.
- Team news: NBC Sports reports no Celtics injuries. For Philadelphia, Dominick Barlow is out and Adem Bona is questionable, both with back problems.
- Key players: Tatum averages 27.1 points and 7.8 assists. Tyrese Maxey averages 26.9 points and has averaged 28.0 in 11 career games against Boston.
When our model and the market point different ways, it is a sign there is no edge. Treat this as a lean on Boston. If you want a bet on this game, the total of 215.5 points is where previews find more value: both teams play at a below-average pace.
Suns vs Clippers prediction
Pick: Phoenix Suns, 62 percent (good). Tip-off is 04:00 SAST at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. The spread has Phoenix as 3-point favourites with a total of 225. We did not find a published moneyline, but 3 points is usually worth about 60 percent, in line with the model.
- Form: both teams have started badly. Phoenix are 3-6 and lost 122-96 at home to San Antonio on Monday night (US time). The Clippers are 2-7 but beat New Orleans 139-123 last time out.
- Team news: previews list the Clippers without Bradley Beal (hip), Brandon Ingram (Achilles) and Jordan Miller (shoulder). Phoenix are missing Jordan Goodwin and Mark Williams.
The Clippers’ injury list is the main reason to side with Phoenix at home, but neither team has earned much trust yet.
Jazz vs Heat prediction
Pick: Miami Heat, 79 percent (strong). Tip-off is 04:00 SAST at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. The Heat are -432 (1.23) and the Jazz +324 (4.24), with Miami giving 9.5 points. Margin removed, that is Miami at about 78 percent.
- Form: Miami are 4-6 but won 114-108 in Sacramento on Sunday. Utah are 1-9 and lost 115-100 in Minnesota on Sunday.
- Team news: this is where the gap opens. Previews list Utah without Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee), Jusuf Nurkić (foot) and Keyonte George (ankle), with Lauri Markkanen questionable. Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as probable for Miami with a wrist problem.
If Markkanen sits as well, Utah are very short of scoring. Check the final injury report about an hour before tip-off.
Kings vs Magic prediction
Pick: Orlando Magic, 67 percent (good). Tip-off is 05:00 SAST in Sacramento. We did not find a published bookmaker moneyline, but two other models agree: DRatings has Orlando at 63.5 percent and the Polymarket prediction market at about 69.
- Form: both teams are near the bottom. Orlando are 2-7 and lost 126-119 at Golden State on Saturday. Sacramento are 1-9 and lost at home to Miami on Sunday.
- Team news: we could not confirm injuries for either side from the previews we checked.
Orlando are the away side but the better team on paper. Without bookmaker prices yet, this is the pick to check most carefully before you bet.
Trail Blazers vs Thunder prediction
Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder, 54 percent (close). Tip-off is 06:00 SAST at the Moda Center in Portland, the last game of the night. The Polymarket prediction market has Oklahoma City at about 53 percent, so the two agree this is close.
- Form: the Thunder are 8-2 and beat Washington 114-75 on Saturday. Portland are a surprise 6-3, third in the Northwest Division, though they lost 125-103 to San Antonio on Saturday.
- Team news: we could not confirm injuries for either side from the previews we checked.
The better team is on the road against a side playing well at home. A lean on Oklahoma City, not a banker.
Tonight’s strongest double
Our two strong picks together, the Knicks and the Heat, come to about 71 percent (0.90 times 0.79). At the moneylines above the double pays about 1.33. Every extra leg lowers the chance of it landing: adding the Suns at 62 percent would take it down to about 44 percent.
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NBA predictions today FAQs
What time do tonight’s NBA games start in South Africa?
The first game, New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks, tips off at 02:30 SAST on Wednesday 11 November 2026. The last, Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder, starts at 06:00 SAST.
What is your 76ers vs Celtics prediction?
Boston to win, at 52 percent, a close call. The bookmakers make Philadelphia slight favourites, so there is no clear edge either way. Tip-off is 03:00 SAST in Philadelphia.
What is your Knicks vs Bucks prediction?
New York to win, at 90 percent, our strongest pick tonight. Milwaukee are 1-9 and have lost six in a row.
What is your safest NBA pick tonight?
The Knicks at 90 percent, then the Heat at 79 percent. No pick is guaranteed.
How do you grade NBA picks if the game goes to overtime?
On the final score including overtime. If a game is postponed, the pick is voided.
Final verdict
The Knicks and the Heat are tonight’s strong picks, and the Magic and Suns the good ones. Treat Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics and Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder as leans. Official schedules and injury reports are on NBA.com. New to basketball betting? Start with our basketball betting guide.
Read next
Predictions on this site are published for information only and are not betting advice. No pick is guaranteed, and past results do not guarantee future outcomes. 18+ only. Betting involves risk and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free and confidential help is available from the South African National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008, 24 hours a day.