The next Soweto Derby is Orlando Pirates against Kaizer Chiefs on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:30 SAST at Orlando Stadium in Soweto. It is a Betway Premiership league fixture and Pirates are the home side. Our pick is Orlando Pirates at 58 percent, a good-confidence call and not a strong one, and the full reasoning is below.
Both clubs go into it unbeaten in the league: Pirates are second on 19 points from 7 games, Chiefs fourth on 13 from 7. Before then, Chiefs play three times in 11 days, including a CAF Confederation Cup trip to Zambia. Everything on this page was rechecked on 6 October 2026.
When is the next Soweto Derby
| Detail | Confirmed |
|---|---|
| Fixture | Orlando Pirates v Kaizer Chiefs |
| Competition | Betway Premiership 2026-27 |
| Date | Saturday 31 October 2026 |
| Kick-off | 15:30 SAST, which is 13:30 UTC |
| Venue | Orlando Stadium, Soweto, Johannesburg |
| Home side | Orlando Pirates |
| Our pick | Orlando Pirates, 58% Good |
| Second league derby this season | Saturday 13 March 2027, Kaizer Chiefs v Orlando Pirates, FNB Stadium, as reported from the PSL’s season schedule |
Date, venue and kick-off from the SuperSport Betway Premiership fixture list on 6 October 2026, which shows the ground under its sponsor name, Orlando Amstel Arena, and lists times in UTC. Some outlets have reported the derby at FNB Stadium, but the official list shows Orlando Stadium. Kick-off times this far out can still move for broadcast, so treat 15:30 as scheduled rather than final.
Our prediction for Orlando Pirates against Kaizer Chiefs
We are on Orlando Pirates at 58 percent. That figure is deliberately modest for a home side that has not lost a league match all season, and the reason is the opponent rather than the hosts.
Pirates have the better team and the better season so far: six wins and one draw from seven, just one goal conceded in seven league games, and a points-per-game rate that projects higher than the champions. On pure quality this is a 70 percent fixture.
What pulls it down to 58 is that Kaizer Chiefs have drawn four of their seven league matches. They are not a team that loses at the moment; they are a team that refuses to resolve. A pick that names a winner and gets a draw is a loss on our record, and the last Soweto Derby, in April 2026, finished 1-1. Chiefs do not need to be better than Pirates on 31 October to beat our pick. They only need to be stubborn for ninety minutes, which is precisely what they have been all season.
How the two clubs go into the derby
| Measure | Orlando Pirates | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Log position | 2nd of 16 | 4th of 16 |
| Games played | 7 | 7 |
| Won, drawn, lost | 6, 1, 0 | 3, 4, 0 |
| Goals for and against | 16 scored, 1 conceded, +15 | 12 scored, 7 conceded, +5 |
| Points | 19 | 13 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 1.86 |
| Defeats this season | None | None |
| Share of points won from draws | 1 of 19, 5.3% | 4 of 13, 30.8% |
Read off the SuperSport Betway Premiership table and checked against the PSL’s own log on 6 October 2026; nothing has changed since 20 September because of the international break. Goals are now included because SuperSport and TNT Sports agree on them, which they did not when this page was first written.
Recent form, the last three league matches for each club
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 20 Sep 2026 | Marumo Gallants v Orlando Pirates | 0-2 | Pirates win, away, clean sheet |
| Thu 17 Sep 2026 | Orlando Pirates v Durban City | 2-0 | Pirates win, home, clean sheet |
| Tue 1 Sep 2026 | Kruger United v Orlando Pirates | 0-4 | Pirates win, away, clean sheet |
| Sun 20 Sep 2026 | Golden Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs | 0-0 | Chiefs draw, away |
| Sat 12 Sep 2026 | Polokwane City v Kaizer Chiefs | 1-1 | Chiefs draw, away |
| Sun 6 Sep 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs v Siwelele | 3-2 | Chiefs win, home |
Scorelines from the SuperSport Betway Premiership results page. Across those three matches Pirates scored 8 and conceded 0. Chiefs took 5 points from a possible 9 and have not scored more than once in either of their last two.
Team news that could shape the derby
Chiefs captain and goalkeeper Brandon Petersen injured a knee ligament in training on 15 September, and the club’s estimate of four to six weeks puts his return between 13 and 27 October. If that holds, he should be available for the derby. Forward Wandile Duba, Chiefs’ top league scorer with 3, is reported back in full training after a hip and groin injury. The full Chiefs injury list, with sources, is on our Kaizer Chiefs page.
The last two Soweto Derbies
| Date | Competition | Clubs | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 April 2026 | Betway Premiership | Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs | 1-1 draw |
| 28 February 2026 | Betway Premiership | Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs | 3-0 to Orlando Pirates |
Both results confirmed against more than one independent report. We do not publish an all-time head-to-head total, because the published totals do not agree: one widely cited reference gives 107 meetings, while SuperSport in April 2026 gave 109 league meetings and 184 encounters across all competitions. When two sources cannot agree on a number, we leave it off the page. SuperSport did report in April 2026 that the February win was a fourth consecutive league derby win for Pirates, their best such run of the PSL era; the April draw ended it.
The draw problem that decides this derby
We counted the season from the verified 16-team log rather than taking anybody else’s word for it. This is the single number that sets our confidence on a Kaizer Chiefs fixture.
| Betway Premiership 2026-27 so far | Figure |
|---|---|
| League matches played | 57 |
| Matches that ended level | 23 |
| League-wide share of matches drawn | 40.4% |
| Kaizer Chiefs games drawn | 4 of 7, 57.1% |
| Orlando Pirates games drawn | 1 of 7, 14.3% |
| Clubs drawing more often than Chiefs | Two, Golden Arrows and Chippa United, both 5 of 7 |
Computed from the log rechecked on 6 October 2026. Total games played divided by two gives 57 matches, and the drawn column summed across all 16 clubs and divided by two gives 23 drawn matches. The wins and losses columns both total 34, and 34 plus 23 equals 57, which is the arithmetic check that the table is sound.
Two league matches in five end level in this competition, and Chiefs are running well above even that. Pirates are the opposite case, one draw in seven. A derby puts the least resolvable team in the league in front of the most resolvable, at the most resolvable team’s ground. That is why we are on Pirates, and it is also why we are only on them at 58.
Build-up fixtures before the derby, with our picks
| Date | Kick-off (SAST) | Fixture | Venue | Our pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct 2026 | 19:30 | Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch Moved | FNB Stadium | Kaizer Chiefs | 52% Close call |
| Tue 13 Oct 2026 | 19:30 | Orlando Pirates v TS Galaxy Moved | Orlando Stadium | Orlando Pirates | 71% Strong |
| Sat 17 Oct 2026 | 15:00 | Red Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs, CAF Confederation Cup | Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola | Not yet published | |
| Fri 23 Oct 2026 | 18:00 | Kaizer Chiefs v Red Arrows, CAF Confederation Cup | Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban | Not yet published | |
| Sat 31 Oct 2026 | 15:30 | Orlando Pirates v Kaizer Chiefs | Orlando Stadium | Orlando Pirates | 58% Good |
| Postponed | New date to be confirmed | Kaizer Chiefs v AmaZulu | FNB Stadium | Kaizer Chiefs | 44% Close call |
| Postponed | New date to be confirmed | Siwelele v Orlando Pirates | Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein | Not yet published | |
League dates, times and venues from the SuperSport fixture list and Soccerway on 6 October 2026; both 13 October games were moved forward from the weekend of 17 and 18 October, and the whole 4 November round is now postponed. The Red Arrows dates and times come from Kaizer Chiefs’ announcement of 6 October; Zambia is on the same time as South Africa. These are the same picks published on our Kaizer Chiefs and Orlando Pirates pages, because a pick that changes depending on which page you read it on is not a pick.
The schedule matters. Chiefs go from a Tuesday night league game to a CAF away leg in Zambia four days later, then the home leg six days after that, all before the derby. Pirates’ run-in is lighter on paper, and the more rotated Chiefs side that may result is one more reason we lean to the home side.
Betting on the Soweto Derby? Check the latest Hollywoodbets prices before you bet. Derby odds tend to move in the final week as team news firms up, especially around Chiefs’ goalkeeper.
See derby odds on Hollywoodbets
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Our graded record, including the losses
Across every competition we cover, our published record is 109 wins and 77 losses from 186 graded picks, 59 percent. Our Betway Premiership column is the worst one we have: 6 wins and 7 losses, 46 percent from 13 graded picks. That is a losing column and it stays on the site.
| Record | Result | Note |
|---|---|---|
| All competitions, all time | 109W-77L, 59% | 186 graded picks |
| Betway Premiership | 6W-7L, 46% | 13 picks, our weakest column; no PSL games since 20 September |
| Strong picks, 70% and up | 25W-5L, 83% | Across all competitions |
| Soweto Derby picks graded | None yet | 31 October will be our first |
We do not slice the record by club, because 13 PSL picks in total is far too small a sample to cut that finely without the result being noise. Every individual pick, won or lost, is listed in the public log on our home page with its result attached. Record rechecked against the live site on 6 October 2026.
Reading our confidence figures. Strong means 70 percent and up, and that band is running at 25 wins and 5 losses. Good means 55 to 69. A close call is under 55 percent and is us telling you the match is near a coin toss. A draw counts as a loss for us when our pick named a winner. We never publish a pick for a match kicking off within the hour, and we never take down a pick that lost.
Related pages
- Kaizer Chiefs: news, injuries, fixtures and our picks
- Orlando Pirates: news, fixtures, log position and our picks
- Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch, 13 October: our 52 percent pick
- PSL fixtures 2026-27: every date, time and venue
- Betway Premiership log, points per game and the full 16-club table
- Betway Premiership hub: club pages and our PSL record
- Mamelodi Sundowns: news, fixtures and our picks
- How to predict the Betway Premiership
- Draw no bet, and the draw trap that costs us PSL picks
- Bafana Bafana fixtures, kick-off times and our picks
- Football betting tips today
- The full graded record, every pick and every loss
Predictions on this page are our own opinion and nothing here is a guarantee. Betting carries real financial risk. You must be 18 or over to bet in South Africa. Set a limit before you start, never chase a loss, and never stake money you need. If gambling has stopped being fun, the South African Responsible Gambling Foundation counselling line is 0800 006 008 and it is free and confidential.

