About Sport Predictions and How We Grade

Sport Predictions exists for one reason: almost every football tipping site claims an accuracy figure and none of them show you the losing picks. We publish every prediction with a confidence score before kick-off, grade all of them against the official result, and leave the losses on the page. The current record is 19 wins and 14 losses from 33 graded picks, 58%.

CDM

Carlson Dze Meh

Football supporter and sports bettor. Started this site after growing tired of tipster pages claiming 90 percent accuracy with nothing behind the number. Works in SEO and agricultural commodity exports by day, neither of which makes him a football expert. What he brings instead is a habit of measuring things and publishing the result, whether or not it flatters him. Not a professional tipster, does not sell picks, and does not accept payment from any bookmaker to influence a prediction. All articles

What we publish, and what we do not

We publish football predictions across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, MLS, the Champions League and the Betway Premiership. Each carries a confidence score that is set before kick-off and never edited afterwards.

We do not sell tips, run a paid group, promise profit, or claim an accuracy figure we cannot show you the workings for. If you find a number on this site, there is a graded table behind it.

How we grade, in full

  • Every pick is graded against the official full-time result. Wins and losses both go on the record.
  • A pick wins only if the named side wins the match. A draw counts as a loss. We do not reclassify draws as pushes or half-wins to flatter the number.
  • Extra time and penalties are ignored for league fixtures. Two-legged ties are graded on the individual leg we picked.
  • A fixture that cannot be verified as played is voided and excluded. Eleven picks have been voided so far, and we say so rather than quietly dropping them.
  • Picks are never edited or removed after kick-off. The board you see before the match is the board that gets graded.
Why the confidence score mattersAcross 33 graded picks, selections rated 70% or above have won 86% of the time. Selections rated between 55% and 69% have won 62%. Selections rated under 55% have won 38%. The bands rank in the right order, which is the only evidence that a confidence score means anything. The close-call badge is a warning, not decoration.

Editorial independence

Some links to bookmakers on this site are commercial links and may earn us a commission. That arrangement is disclosed at the top of every page it applies to and in full on our advertising disclosure page.

Three rules govern it. We review only bookmakers licensed by a South African provincial gambling board. Commission never affects a rating, and ratings are set before commercial terms are discussed. And every review carries a section stating what we could not verify, because the fastest way to tell an honest review from a rewritten press release is whether it admits the gaps.

Our Betway review argues at length that its welcome bonus is close to unusable for anyone backing favourites. We still carry a link to Betway. That is what independence looks like in practice.

Corrections

If anything on this site is wrong, including a bonus term that has changed since we checked it, tell us and we will fix it. Accuracy is the only asset this site has, and a prediction site that will not correct itself has nothing.

Betting involves risk and you can lose money. Nothing on this site is betting advice, and past performance of our predictions does not guarantee future results. 18+ only. In South Africa, free and confidential help is available from the National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008. See our responsible gambling page.