Our Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal to win, at 40 percent, which puts it in our close band, the weakest of our three confidence levels. The match kicks off at Anfield on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 South African time (16:30 in the United Kingdom). Arsenal arrive second on 21 points, six clear of fourth-placed Liverpool, and the betting market makes them favourites. Two things pull the other way: Arsenal are without Bukayo Saka and William Saliba, and they have not won a league game at Anfield since September 2012. A draw loses this pick, and the market prices the draw at 28 percent.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: kick-off, venue and TV
Three sources checked on 31 October 2026 agree on the date, ground and clock once United Kingdom time is converted. The clocks in Britain went back on 25 October, so 16:30 in the UK is 16:30 UTC and 18:30 SAST.
| Source, read 31 Oct 2026 | Date | Kick-off as published | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool FC official team news | Sunday 1 November 2026 | 16:30 GMT | Anfield |
| Football365 match preview | Sunday 1 November 2026 | 16:30 GMT | Anfield |
| MightyTips match preview | Sunday 1 November 2026 | 16:30 UK | Anfield, Liverpool |
This is Premier League Matchweek 9. Liverpool are managed by Andoni Iraola and Arsenal by Mikel Arteta.
Form guide and the table
The standings below are after eight rounds, as published by Premier League News Now and MightyTips on 30 and 31 October. Points per game is our own arithmetic.
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Pts per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 | 2.63 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 | 2.63 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | 1.88 |
Liverpool’s last five
Won all five in all competitions: 6-3 at LASK Linz and 4-3 against Villarreal in the Champions League, 2-1 at Brentford and 2-0 against Brighton in the league, and a Carabao Cup win over Chelsea on penalties. The one league defeat is the one that matters for Sunday: 0-3 at home to Manchester City on 11 October.
Arsenal’s last five
3-0 against Lille, 1-0 at Nottingham Forest, 2-2 at Bayern Munich, 2-0 against Everton, and then a Carabao Cup exit to League Two side Fleetwood Town, 1-1 and beaten on penalties. Max Dowman was sent off in that cup tie. In the league Arsenal have conceded only 5 goals in 8 games.
Liverpool vs Arsenal head to head
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2026 | Premier League | Arsenal v Liverpool | 0-0 |
| Aug 2025 | Premier League | Liverpool v Arsenal | 1-0 |
| May 2025 | Premier League | Liverpool v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| Oct 2024 | Premier League | Arsenal v Liverpool | 2-2 |
| Feb 2024 | Premier League | Arsenal v Liverpool | 3-1 |
| Jan 2024 | FA Cup | Arsenal v Liverpool | 0-2 |
- Three of the last four Premier League meetings were draws.
- Across 68 Premier League meetings: Liverpool 26 wins, Arsenal 18, draws 24.
- Arsenal’s last league win at Anfield was on 2 September 2012. They have gone 13 league visits without a win since.
- Seven of the last ten meetings had three or more goals, but last season’s two league meetings both had fewer than three.
Team news and injuries
Checked against Liverpool FC’s official team news, which covers Friday’s press conferences from both managers, and two independent previews.
| Club | Out | Doubtful | Back or available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Jeremie Frimpong (muscle), Hugo Ekitike (Achilles), Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni (long term) | Dominik Szoboszlai and Victor Munoz, both with a chance after knocks at Brentford | Florian Wirtz, back from an ankle problem and on as a substitute against Chelsea |
| Arsenal | Bukayo Saka (quad), William Saliba (back); Max Dowman suspended, first game of a three-match ban | Noni Madueke (ankle), assessed after missing the Fleetwood game | Declan Rice, Riccardo Calafiori and Christos Tzolis are training and on course to be available |
The Saka and Saliba absences are the biggest variables on the page: a first-choice centre-back and a first-choice winger, both missing for a trip to Anfield. Neither absence is reflected in the season table above.
Key stats
| Stat, league only | Liverpool | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 of 8 | 0 of 8 |
| Points per game | 1.88 | 2.63 |
| Average expected goals (xG) per game | 1.51 | 1.74 |
| Arsenal’s last league win at Anfield | 2 September 2012 | |
Arsenal’s goals scored figure is derived from their published goal difference of +8 and 5 conceded. The xG averages are from MightyTips.
Liverpool vs Arsenal odds and our pick
We take the three-way prices, convert each to a percentage, and scale the three so they add up to 100. That strips out the bookmaker’s margin and leaves the market’s actual view. Prices were read on 31 October and will move before kick-off.
| Outcome | 22bet via MightyTips | UK price via Football365 | Market view, margin removed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool win | 3.10 | 2/1 (3.00) | 31.8% |
| Draw | 3.54 | 5/2 (3.50) | 27.8% |
| Arsenal win | 2.44 | 5/4 (2.25) | 40.4% |
| Book total, 22bet | 101.5% | 106.3% | 100.0% |
The market view uses the 22bet prices because that book carries the smaller margin. The Football365 prices give almost the same picture: Arsenal 41.8 percent, Liverpool 31.3, the draw 26.9. Over and under 2.5 goals is close to a coin toss at around 1.90 each way.
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Betting tip
The case for Arsenal is the table: 2.63 points per game against 1.88, the best defence of the two, and no league draws all season. The case against is everything specific to Sunday: the two best players missing, a ground where they have not won a league game in 13 visits, and a fixture that has finished level in three of the last four league meetings.
So the pick stays with the market, but the draw is a real outcome at 28 percent. If you want cover, Arsenal or draw comes out at about 68 percent on the same prices. If you read the Anfield record more than the table, the other side of that is Liverpool or draw at about 60 percent. We would not back the goals line in either direction: it is priced as a coin toss and the head to head is split between high-scoring and low-scoring games.
Our record on these two clubs, losses included
Every pick stays on our public results board with its result attached. These rows were read off the live board on 31 October 2026.
| Competition | Match | Score | Our pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | Liverpool v Villarreal | 4-3 | Liverpool win, 65% | WIN |
| Premier League | Liverpool v Manchester City | 0-3 | Man City win, 51% | WIN |
| Champions League | Liverpool v Atletico Madrid | 2-1 | Liverpool win, 54% | WIN |
| Premier League | Ipswich Town v Liverpool | 0-2 | Liverpool win, 61% | WIN |
| Premier League | Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | 2-2 | Liverpool win, 74% | LOSS |
| Premier League | Newcastle v Liverpool | 2-2 | Liverpool win, 49% | LOSS |
| Champions League | Arsenal v Lille | 3-0 | Arsenal win, 79% | WIN |
| Premier League | Arsenal v Leeds United | 2-1 | Arsenal win, 66% | WIN |
| Premier League | Aston Villa v Arsenal | 0-1 | Arsenal win, 56% | WIN |
| Premier League | Arsenal v Coventry City | 3-0 | Arsenal win, 82% | WIN |
| Ten graded picks | 8 won, 2 lost | 80% |
Both losses were Liverpool draws, which is the exact risk attached to this pick. Ten picks is a sample, not a hit rate. Across all 225 graded picks we are at 58 percent, and our close band, where this pick sits, is the weakest part of that record.
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Liverpool vs Arsenal FAQs
What time is Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 SAST, which is 16:30 in the United Kingdom. The match is at Anfield.
What is your Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction?
Arsenal to win, 40 percent, in our close band. That is the betting market’s view with the bookmaker margin removed. A draw, priced at 28 percent, would lose the pick.
Who is injured for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Arsenal are without Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and the suspended Max Dowman, with Noni Madueke a doubt. Liverpool are without Jeremie Frimpong, Hugo Ekitike, Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni, with Dominik Szoboszlai and Victor Munoz doubtful.
When did Arsenal last win at Anfield?
Arsenal’s last Premier League win at Anfield was on 2 September 2012. They have played 13 league games there since without winning.
Final verdict
Arsenal are the better team on this season’s numbers and the market is right to make them favourites. But 40 percent is a close-band pick, Saka and Saliba are out, and no Arsenal side has won a league game at Anfield in 13 visits. Back Arsenal if you trust the table, take Arsenal or draw if you want cover, and keep stakes small either way. We will grade this pick here after the final whistle on Sunday.
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Predictions on this site are published for information only and are not betting advice. No pick is guaranteed, and past results do not guarantee future outcomes. 18+ only. Betting involves risk and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. We earn commission from some links on this page; see our advertising disclosure. Free and confidential help is available from the South African National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008, 24 hours a day.