Our Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce prediction leads four Monday night picks on 26 October 2026, all kicking off between 20:30 and 22:00 SAST. The Istanbul derby is the closest game on the card: we lean Galatasaray at 44 percent, with Galatasaray or the draw at about 68 percent. The strongest pick is PSG at home to Lyon, 72 percent, in a game moved from Sunday to Monday. Benfica at Santa Clara are 68 percent, and Sevilla against Osasuna are a 51 percent close call.
Monday football predictions: all four picks
Kick-off times are South African time. Strong means 70 percent and above, good means 55 to 69 percent, and close means under 55 percent.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Competition | Our pick | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:30 | Galatasaray v Fenerbahce | Süper Lig | Galatasaray, 44% | Close |
| 20:45 | Santa Clara v Benfica | Primeira Liga | Benfica, 68% | Good |
| 21:30 | PSG v Lyon | Ligue 1 | PSG, 72% | Strong |
| 22:00 | Sevilla v Osasuna | La Liga | Sevilla, 51% | Close |
| Four fixtures | One strong, one good, two close |
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How we set the numbers
Each figure is the bookmaker’s implied probability for the named side with the margin removed. We convert the home, draw and away prices to percentages, then scale the three so they add up to 100. Prices were checked on the morning of 26 October and will move before kick-off. A pick wins only if the named side wins, so a draw grades as a loss.
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce prediction
Pick: Galatasaray, 44 percent (close). Kick-off is 20:30 SAST at Rams Park in Istanbul, Süper Lig week 9. The Turkish federation considered moving the derby to Sunday but kept it on Monday. Prices compiled by tips.gg have Galatasaray at 2.18, the draw at 3.80 and Fenerbahce at 3.00. With the margin removed that is Galatasaray 43.5 percent, Fenerbahce 31.6 percent and the draw 24.9 percent.
- Form: Galatasaray have won six of their eight league games this season, and previews report a home unbeaten run of 39 matches. Fenerbahce’s European form is shaky: they lost 6-0 at Aston Villa and then threw away a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with Slavia Prague, a game we graded as a loss.
- Head to head: Galatasaray won the last meeting at Rams Park 3-0. Seven of the last 10 derbies have finished with at least one side failing to score.
- Team news: Lucas Torreira is reported to be back for Galatasaray, and Victor Osimhen leads the line. Romelu Lukaku is Fenerbahce’s main threat. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Galatasaray are the right side, but under 50 percent is a lean, not a tip. The derby is the one game tonight where covering the draw makes sense: Galatasaray or the draw is about 68 percent.
Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction
Pick: Benfica, 68 percent (good). Kick-off is 20:45 SAST at the Estádio de São Miguel in the Azores. Sporting Life lists Santa Clara at 13/2, the draw at 15/4 and Benfica at 4/11. Margin removed, that is Benfica 68.1 percent, the draw 19.5 percent and Santa Clara 12.4 percent.
- Form and venue: Benfica travel more than 1,400 kilometres to the Azores, which is part of why the price is not shorter. Santa Clara usually sit deep at home and play on the counter.
- Team news: we could not confirm absentees for either side from the previews we checked.
Sixty-eight percent is near the top of our good band. Benfica or the draw is about 88 percent if you want a safer, shorter-priced cover.
PSG vs Lyon prediction
Pick: PSG, 72 percent (strong). Kick-off is 21:30 SAST at the Parc des Princes. The game was originally set for Sunday but moved to Monday after the Paris police raised security concerns over the unrest in France. Sporting Life lists PSG at 3/10, the draw at 5/1 and Lyon at 13/2. Margin removed, that is PSG 71.9 percent, the draw 15.6 percent and Lyon 12.5 percent.
- Form: this is first against second. Lyon top Ligue 1 and PSG are second, both on 14 points from seven games. PSG have won four in a row, most recently 3-1 at Strasbourg. Lyon beat Nice 2-1 last time out.
- Head to head: PSG have won four of the last five meetings.
- Team news: Ferran Torres has four league goals for PSG. Ernest Nuamah leads Lyon’s scoring with three. We could not confirm new absentees for either side.
The market makes PSG heavy favourites despite Lyon being top. That gap is the main reason this is our strongest pick tonight, but at 3/10 the price leaves little value on the straight win.
Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction
Pick: Sevilla, 51 percent (close). Kick-off is 22:00 SAST at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, La Liga matchday 10. Sporting Life lists Sevilla at 17/20, the draw at 12/5 and Osasuna at 10/3. Margin removed, that is Sevilla 50.7 percent, the draw 27.6 percent and Osasuna 21.7 percent.
- Table: Sevilla are sixth on 14 points from nine games, Osasuna tenth on 11.
- Form: Osasuna have lost their last three away league games, but they beat Racing Santander 2-0 last round. Ante Budimir has seven league goals, fifth in La Liga.
- Head to head: this is the warning sign. Sevilla have won only one of their last eight league meetings with Osasuna, who won 2-1 in April.
- Team news: previews report Sevilla without Marcão, Jon Guridi and Miguel Sierra, with Giorgi Kochorashvili a doubt.
Sevilla are the better side on paper and at home, but their record against Osasuna is why this stays a close call. Sevilla or the draw is about 78 percent.
Draw-cover angles
If you would rather cover the draw, these are the double chance figures from the same margin-removed prices. They are not our graded picks, and they pay less. Read what double chance costs before you use them.
| Fixture | Our pick | Pick or draw |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray v Fenerbahce | Galatasaray, 44% | Galatasaray or draw, about 68% |
| Sevilla v Osasuna | Sevilla, 51% | Sevilla or draw, about 78% |
| Santa Clara v Benfica | Benfica, 68% | Benfica or draw, about 88% |
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Our record by confidence band
We publish a confidence figure with every pick and grade all of them in public, losses included. These figures update automatically from our graded results log.
| Band | Live record | Tonight’s picks in this band |
|---|---|---|
| Strong (70% and above) | 32W-7L (82%) | PSG |
| Good (55 to 69%) | 55W-33L (63%) | Benfica |
| Close (under 55%) | 44W-54L (45%) | Galatasaray, Sevilla |
| Overall | 131 wins from 225 graded picks (58%) | Four picks |
Monday football predictions FAQs
What time is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce in South Africa?
20:30 SAST on Monday 26 October 2026, at Rams Park in Istanbul.
What is your Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce prediction?
Galatasaray to win, at 44 percent, which is a close call. Fenerbahce are about 32 percent and the draw about 25 percent. Galatasaray or the draw is about 68 percent.
Why is PSG vs Lyon on a Monday?
It was moved from Sunday after the Paris police raised security concerns. It kicks off at 21:30 SAST on Monday 26 October.
What is your safest pick tonight?
PSG to beat Lyon, at 72 percent. It is the only strong pick on the card. No pick is guaranteed.
What is your Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction?
Sevilla to win, at 51 percent, a close call. Sevilla have won only one of their last eight league meetings with Osasuna.
Final verdict
PSG are tonight’s strongest pick and Benfica the next best. Treat Galatasaray v Fenerbahce and Sevilla v Osasuna as leans, and consider the double chance if you want them in a multi. Fixture details for the derby are on the Turkish Football Federation website.
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Predictions on this site are published for information only and are not betting advice. No pick is guaranteed, and past results do not guarantee future outcomes. 18+ only. Betting involves risk and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free and confidential help is available from the South African National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008, 24 hours a day.