Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy has moved. It now kicks off at 19:30 SAST on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, not on Sunday 18 October as this page first said. Our published pick is unchanged: Orlando Pirates to win at 71 percent, a strong pick. Pirates are second on 19 points from seven games and have not lost a league match this season. TS Galaxy are twelfth on 6 points, and half of those points came from draws. The gap between the two sides is 1.86 points per game.
What changed
Both the ESPN South African Premiership scoreboard and the SuperSport fixture list now carry this match on 13 October, and neither lists it on 18 October any more. Checked on 4 October 2026.
| Was | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Date | Sunday 18 October 2026 | Tuesday 13 October 2026 |
| Kick-off | 16:00 SAST as first published | 19:30 SAST |
| Venue | Orlando Stadium | Orlando Stadium, unchanged |
| Our pick | Orlando Pirates, 71%, strong | Orlando Pirates, 71%, strong, unchanged |
The new date puts Pirates on the pitch three days after the MTN8 final against Mamelodi Sundowns in Durban on Saturday 10 October, and it puts all four of the current top four in action at the same moment on 13 October.
The two sides as the league left them
Read from the ESPN South African Premiership standings on 4 October 2026 and matched against the SuperSport log. No league match has been played since 20 September. Points per game is our own calculation.
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | Pts | Pts per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2.71 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.86 |
Pirates sit one point behind Sundowns with a game in hand. They have conceded one league goal all season and have won their last five league games without conceding, the most recent a 2-0 win at Marumo Gallants on 20 September. TS Galaxy have won once in seven.
The original number: the points-per-game gap across the new 13 October round
Four fixtures now share the 13 October slot. We took each club’s points per game and worked out the gap in every fixture, then set our own published confidence beside it.
| Fixture | Home PPG | Away PPG | Gap | Our published pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay v Mamelodi Sundowns | 0.43 | 2.50 | 2.07 | Mamelodi Sundowns, 76%, strong |
| Orlando Pirates v TS Galaxy | 2.71 | 0.86 | 1.86 | Orlando Pirates, 71%, strong |
| Durban City v AmaZulu | 1.00 | 2.29 | 1.29 | AmaZulu, 56%, good |
| Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch | 1.86 | 1.29 | 0.57 | Kaizer Chiefs, 52%, close |
| Four fixtures | Widest to narrowest | Confidence falls in the same order |
Rank the four fixtures by the gap and our confidence falls in exactly the same order, from 76 percent down to 52. Nothing in that table is a judgement about mood or momentum. It is arithmetic off a verified log, which is why the two widest gaps are the only two strong picks of the night.
Where TS Galaxy’s six points came from
TS Galaxy have one win and three draws, so exactly half their season total has come from games they did not win. Here they are next to the three clubs below them that have taken every point from draws, and next to Pirates.
| Club | Points | Points from draws | Share from draws |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 3 | 3 | 100% |
| Siwelele | 3 | 3 | 100% |
| Marumo Gallants | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| TS Galaxy | 6 | 3 | 50% |
| Orlando Pirates | 19 | 1 | 5% |
Pirates have taken one point of nineteen from a draw, the cleanest win-or-nothing profile in the division. That matters for grading, because we score a pick as a loss when we backed a winner and the match finishes level.
Our pick, and the losses behind it
We grade every published prediction in public and we do not remove the ones that went wrong.
| What we publish | The figure | Verified |
|---|---|---|
| Overall graded record | 104 wins, 74 losses, 58% from 178 picks | Live site, 4 Oct 2026 |
| Picks at 70% and above | 24 wins from 28, 86% | Live site, 4 Oct 2026 |
| Betway Premiership picks | 6 wins, 7 losses, 46% from 13 | Counted from our public pick log, 4 Oct 2026 |
| Kruger United v Orlando Pirates, 1 Sep | Pirates to win, 66%: 0-4 WIN | Our pick log |
| This pick | Orlando Pirates, 71%, strong | On our board and fixtures hub |
Two things in that table pull against each other and both are true. Our strong band is the best part of our record, 24 wins from 28. Our South African league column is the weakest part of it, 6 wins from 13. This pick sits at the intersection: our most reliable confidence tier, in our least reliable league.
What comes next for Pirates
The MTN8 final against Sundowns at Moses Mabhida Stadium on Saturday 10 October at 18:00 SAST comes first, where our pick is Pirates to lift the trophy at 53 percent. Then this game on the Tuesday. Then the Soweto Derby at home to Kaizer Chiefs on Saturday 31 October at 15:30 SAST, published at Orlando Pirates 58 percent. For the title-race arithmetic around 13 October, including every combination of the Pirates and Sundowns results, see the Pirates standings page linked first below.
Read next
- Orlando Pirates standings and the 13 October title maths
- Orlando Pirates news, fixtures and our graded picks
- MTN8 final, 10 October: Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns
- Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch, the same night
- Richards Bay v Mamelodi Sundowns, the same night
- Every Betway Premiership fixture with our picks
- The full Betway Premiership log, with points per game
- Soweto Derby, 31 October: Pirates v Chiefs
- Betway Premiership hub
- How accurate are football predictions? Our real, graded numbers
Predictions on this site are published for information only and are not betting advice. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. 18+ only. Betting involves risk and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free and confidential help is available from the South African National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008, 24 hours a day.