Our Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction is Nigeria to win, at 77 percent, which puts it in our strong band. The match kicks off at 18:00 South African time (17:00 in Nigeria) on Friday 13 November 2026 at the Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo. The Super Eagles are second in AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L, three points behind Guinea-Bissau, and are without Victor Osimhen. Tanzania have never beaten Nigeria and are already through to the finals as co-hosts. The pick will be graded in public after full time, like every other.
Nigeria vs Tanzania: kick-off time, venue and TV
Sofascore lists the game for 16:00 UTC and Afrik-Foot for 5pm in Nigeria, which is the same moment: 18:00 in South Africa. The two sides meet again in Zanzibar four days later.
| Detail | Nigeria v Tanzania | Tanzania v Nigeria |
|---|---|---|
| Date | Friday 13 November 2026 | Tuesday 17 November 2026 |
| Kick-off in South Africa | 18:00 SAST (17:00 in Nigeria) | 15:00 SAST, from the 13:00 GMT start reported by Crisp NG |
| Venue | Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo | Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar |
| Competition | AFCON 2027 qualifiers, Group L, matchdays 3 and 4 | |
| TV | SuperSport, according to Afrik-Foot. We have not confirmed the South African channel. | Not checked |
Group L table and what is at stake
The table is built from the four results so far: Nigeria 2-1 Madagascar and Tanzania 0-2 Guinea-Bissau on 25 September, then Guinea-Bissau 3-0 Nigeria and Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania on 29 September.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Tanzania (co-host, already qualified) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Tanzania host the finals with Kenya and Uganda, so they are already in. That leaves one place for Nigeria, Guinea-Bissau and Madagascar. Nigeria trail Guinea-Bissau by three points and lost 3-0 in Bissau, which matters because level teams are separated on head-to-head first. In practice Nigeria need to finish above Guinea-Bissau on points, and the two games against Tanzania are the six points they are expected to bank. The full arithmetic is on our Super Eagles AFCON 2027 qualifying page.
Recent form: Super Eagles and Taifa Stars
| Nigeria, last five | Result | Tanzania, last five | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poland 2-2 Nigeria (friendly, 3 Jun) | DRAW | Morocco 1-0 Tanzania (AFCON last 16, 4 Jan) | LOST |
| Portugal 2-1 Nigeria (friendly, 10 Jun) | LOST | Tanzania 0-1 Liechtenstein (FIFA Series, 26 Mar) | LOST |
| Nigeria 2-1 Madagascar (qualifier, 25 Sep) | WON | Macao 0-6 Tanzania (FIFA Series, 29 Mar) | WON |
| Guinea-Bissau 3-0 Nigeria (qualifier, 29 Sep) | LOST | Tanzania 0-2 Guinea-Bissau (qualifier, 25 Sep) | LOST |
| Russia 3-3 Nigeria (friendly, 6 Oct) | DRAW | Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania (qualifier, 29 Sep) | DRAW |
Neither side arrives in good shape. Nigeria have one win in five and have conceded in all five, 11 goals in total. Tanzania have one win in their last 15 matches, according to Sports Mole, and have scored once in two qualifiers. The difference is where the games were played: four of Nigeria’s five were away from home, and Sports Mole notes they have won their last three matches in Uyo.
Nigeria vs Tanzania head to head
Afrik-Foot counts 11 meetings since 1972, and Tanzania have not won any of them. The three most recent were all competitive games.
| Measure | Record |
|---|---|
| Meetings | 11 |
| Nigeria wins | 7 |
| Draws | 4 |
| Tanzania wins | 0 |
| Last meeting | Nigeria 2-1 Tanzania, AFCON 2025 group stage, 23 December 2025 |
| Before that | Nigeria 1-0 Tanzania (2016) and Tanzania 0-0 Nigeria (2015), both AFCON qualifiers |
The number we would underline is the draws. Four of 11 meetings, 36 percent, finished level, and the market gives the draw about 15 percent tonight. Eleven games spread over five decades is a small sample and says little about these two squads, but it is a reminder that an unbeaten record is not the same as a winning one.
Team news and predicted line-ups
Nigeria
Sports Mole’s team news has Victor Osimhen out after knee surgery and Samuel Chukwueze out after hip surgery. George Ilenikhena, who scored on debut against Madagascar, was left out over fitness. Semi Ajayi is in camp but still being assessed, and Moses Usor keeps his place despite a knock. Kelechi Iheanacho and goalkeeper Maduka Okoye were not selected. Afrik-Foot’s preview adds that seven players, Wilfred Ndidi and Taiwo Awoniyi among them, only reached camp on Wednesday after flight delays.
Tanzania
Defender Dickson Job and forward Clement Mzize have withdrawn injured, with Iddi Nado called up as cover. Mbwana Samatta is not in the squad. Miguel Gamondi’s side are expected to defend deep and break through Simon Msuva.
| Team | Predicted XI (Sports Mole) |
|---|---|
| Nigeria | Nwabali; Osayi-Samuel, Ajayi, Bassey, Onyemaechi; Ndidi; Dele-Bashiru, Iwobi; Lookman; Awoniyi, Adams |
| Tanzania | Manula; Chilambo, Lukanima, Mwamnyeto, Mnoga; Mao, Mabula, Salum; Kachwele, Msuva, Kibu |
These are predictions, not confirmed teams. Afrik-Foot expects Ola Aina and Moses Simon to start for Nigeria instead, so check the official line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
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Nigeria vs Tanzania odds and win probabilities
Market odds (indicative), read on Hollywoodbets at 09:16 SAST on 13 November 2026. Hollywoodbets shows the profit on a R1 stake, so 0.18 is the same as decimal odds of 1.18. Bookmakers build a margin into their prices, so the raw percentages add up to about 110. Removing that margin gives the market’s actual view.
| Outcome | Hollywoodbets price | Decimal odds | Raw implied chance | Margin removed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria win | 0.18 | 1.18 | 84.7% | 77% |
| Draw | 4.6 | 5.60 | 17.9% | 16% |
| Tanzania win | 12 | 13.00 | 7.7% | 7% |
Prices differ between bookmakers. Other listings we saw this morning had Nigeria between 1.12 and 1.17, which works out at 78 to 83 percent with the margin removed, so Hollywoodbets is the most cautious of them on the Super Eagles. Odds move, so check live prices before you bet. Our guide to how betting odds work shows the sums.
| Other markets | Indicative price | What the form says |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 (Hollywoodbets 0.55) | Both of Nigeria’s qualifiers had three goals, and so did the last meeting |
| Both teams to score: yes | 2.35 (Hollywoodbets 1.35) | Nigeria have conceded in five straight games, but Tanzania have one goal in two qualifiers |
| Correct score | 2-0 at 4.60, 3-0 at 5.50, 1-0 at 6.00, 2-1 at 8.20 (Hollywoodbets 3.6, 4.5, 5 and 7.2) | 2-0 is the shortest price. Published previews range from 2-0 to 3-1 to Nigeria |
Our Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction and the reasoning
Our pick is Nigeria to win at 77 percent, a strong-band call. The figure is the margin-removed Hollywoodbets number from the table above, and it is the only thing we grade. Three points sit behind it.
- Home advantage and motivation point the same way. Nigeria have won their last three in Uyo and cannot afford to drop points with Guinea-Bissau three clear. Tanzania are already qualified.
- Tanzania’s attack has been thin. One goal in two qualifiers, one win in 15, and two first-choice players withdrawn this week.
- The risk is at the other end. A side that has conceded 11 in five games, and is missing Osimhen, is not a safe 1.18. This is the reason we used the most cautious price we found.
If you want a scoreline, 2-0 or 2-1 to Nigeria fits the evidence best, and our correct score predictions page explains how rarely exact scores land. That lean is not graded.
| Nigeria in Group L | Our pick | Result | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria v Madagascar | Nigeria win, 72 percent | 2-1 | WON |
| Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria | No pick published | 3-0 | NOT GRADED |
| Nigeria v Tanzania | Nigeria win, 77 percent | 13 November | PENDING |
For context, our strong-band picks had won 48 of 58 when we read the graded pick log this morning, and 67 of our 139 losses were draws. A draw tonight would count as a loss for this pick. If you want cover against it, our guides to draw no bet and double chance explain what each market costs, though at these prices neither pays much.
Both bookmakers we work with are licensed in South Africa: see our Hollywoodbets review and 10Bet review, or go straight to 10Bet (18+, T&Cs apply, commercial link).
Nigeria vs Tanzania FAQs
What time is Nigeria vs Tanzania in South Africa?
Nigeria vs Tanzania kicks off at 18:00 South African time on Friday 13 November 2026, which is 17:00 in Nigeria and 19:00 in Tanzania.
Where is Nigeria vs Tanzania being played?
At the Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo, Nigeria. The return game is at Amaan Stadium in Zanzibar on Tuesday 17 November 2026.
Has Tanzania ever beaten Nigeria?
No. Afrik-Foot counts 11 meetings, with seven Nigeria wins and four draws. Nigeria won the most recent one 2-1 at AFCON 2025 on 23 December 2025.
Have Tanzania already qualified for AFCON 2027?
Yes. Tanzania co-host the tournament with Kenya and Uganda, so only one place in Group L is open, and Nigeria, Guinea-Bissau and Madagascar are competing for it.
Is Victor Osimhen playing against Tanzania?
No. Osimhen is recovering from knee surgery and is not in the squad. Samuel Chukwueze is also out after hip surgery.
What is your Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction?
Nigeria to win at 77 percent, which is in our strong band. It will be graded in public after the match, win or lose.
Read next
- Nigeria Super Eagles: AFCON 2027 qualifying table, fixtures and every result
- South Africa vs Kenya prediction, also at 18:00 on Friday
- Football betting tips today, with our verified record
- 100 sure football predictions: why no pick is certain
- Licensed South African betting sites, reviewed
- Responsible gambling and where to get help
Written by Carlson Dze Meh. Predictions are opinions based on data, not guarantees, and are not betting advice. This page contains affiliate links to Hollywoodbets and 10Bet, and we may earn a commission if you open an account through them, at no cost to you. 18+ only. Betting involves risk and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free and confidential help is available from the South African National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008, 24 hours a day. See our responsible gambling page.