Manchester City top the Premier League table after five rounds of 2026-27 with a perfect 15 points, three clear of Arsenal on 12, with Brighton and Hove Albion third on 10. Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham are bottom on two points each, and Coventry City sit 18th on three. Every club has played five games. The table below was read from ESPN and matched row for row against Sky Sports on 9 October 2026, and round six starts with Arsenal v Leeds United on Saturday 10 October at 13:30 SAST. Our published pick for every round six game is listed further down, along with our real Premier League record: 9 wins and 11 losses.
Premier League table 2026-27 after five rounds
Pts is points, GD is goal difference and PPG is points per game, which is our own column and the fairest way to compare clubs once games in hand appear. Both sources list the same 20 rows with identical figures.
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 | 3.00 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 2.40 |
| 3 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 | 2.00 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1.60 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1.00 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 0.60 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | 0.60 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | 0.40 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.40 |
The table adds up, which is the first thing we check on any league table we publish. Wins and losses both total 34, the drawn column totals 32, which is 16 drawn matches, so 50 matches have been played. Goals scored and goals conceded both total 141, an average of 2.82 goals a game. Five clubs are still unbeaten: Manchester City, Brentford, Leeds United, Liverpool and Everton. Only Bournemouth, Fulham and Tottenham are still without a win.
Round six fixtures and our picks, 10 to 12 October
Dates, venues and times are from the ESPN fixture feed. The six televised games also match the UK broadcast listings on Live Football On TV, at 12:30, 17:30, 14:00, 16:30 and 20:00 UK time, which is BST, one hour behind SAST. The four Saturday games at 16:00 SAST are the traditional 3pm UK kick-offs, which are not shown live in the UK, so they appear on ESPN only. Every pick below is the one already published on our today’s predictions board, unchanged, so the same game never carries two different numbers on this site.
| Date | SAST | Fixture | Venue | Our pick | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct | 13:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | Emirates Stadium | Arsenal 66% | Good |
| Sat 10 Oct | 16:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | Villa Park | Brentford 48% | Close |
| Sat 10 Oct | 16:00 | Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth | Stamford Bridge | Chelsea 62% | Good |
| Sat 10 Oct | 16:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | Portman Road | Ipswich 61% | Good |
| Sat 10 Oct | 16:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | Stadium of Light | Brighton 57% | Good |
| Sat 10 Oct | 18:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | Old Trafford | Man United 58% | Good |
| Sun 11 Oct | 15:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | Selhurst Park | Palace 42% | Close |
| Sun 11 Oct | 15:00 | Hull City v Everton | The MKM Stadium | Hull 40% | Close |
| Sun 11 Oct | 17:30 | Liverpool v Manchester City | Anfield | Man City 51% | Close |
| Mon 12 Oct | 21:00 | Coventry City v Newcastle United | Coventry Building Society Arena | Newcastle 55% | Good |
Six of the ten picks sit in our good band (55 to 69 percent) and four in the close band (under 55). None is strong. The two lowest numbers, Crystal Palace at 42 and Hull City at 40, are on the Sunday games where the gap between the clubs is 0.20 points per game and both sides draw often, so the draw is a live result in each.
Round seven fixtures, 17 to 19 October
From the ESPN feed, with the televised games matched against the UK listings. We have not published picks for round seven yet, and we will not invent a number before we have one we can source.
| Date | SAST | Fixture | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct | 13:30 | Everton v Chelsea | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| Sat 17 Oct | 16:00 | Brentford v Liverpool | Gtech Community Stadium |
| Sat 17 Oct | 16:00 | Fulham v Hull City | Craven Cottage |
| Sat 17 Oct | 16:00 | Manchester City v Ipswich Town | Etihad Stadium |
| Sat 17 Oct | 18:30 | Newcastle United v Aston Villa | St James’ Park |
| Sun 18 Oct | 15:00 | AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland | Vitality Stadium |
| Sun 18 Oct | 15:00 | Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace | American Express Stadium |
| Sun 18 Oct | 15:00 | Leeds United v Manchester United | Elland Road |
| Sun 18 Oct | 17:30 | Nottingham Forest v Arsenal | The City Ground |
| Mon 19 Oct | 21:00 | Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
The draw tax: why four clubs on nine points look better than their position
This is our own reading of the verified table. Brentford, Leeds United, Liverpool and Everton are fourth to seventh, all on nine points from five games and all unbeaten. Between them they have drawn 12 of their 20 games. That is 60 percent, almost double the league rate of 32 percent, and it is the single biggest thing separating them from Arsenal.
| Group | Games | W-D-L | Draws | Draw rate | Points dropped in draws |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top two (City, Arsenal) | 10 | 9-0-1 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| The 1.80 group (Brentford, Leeds, Liverpool, Everton) | 20 | 8-12-0 | 12 | 60% | 24 |
| Rest of the league (14 clubs) | 70 | 17-20-33 | 20 | 29% | 40 |
A draw drops two of the three points on offer. The 1.80 group has dropped 24 points that way, close to three times the nine each of them has actually banked. City and Arsenal have not drawn once between them. For anyone reading the table for betting, the draw rate matters more than the position: a win-only pick on a side that draws three games in five loses whenever the game finishes level, and that is exactly where our own Premier League record has suffered.
Points per game over 38 games, as arithmetic only
Multiplying points per game by 38 is not a forecast. Five games is a tiny sample and every one of these numbers will move. It is still a useful way to see how far apart the top and bottom already are.
| Club | PPG now | Same rate over 38 games |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 3.00 | 114 |
| Arsenal | 2.40 | 91 |
| Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.00 | 76 |
| Brentford | 1.80 | 68 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 0.40 | 15 |
Our Premier League record, losses included
Read from our homepage on 9 October 2026, our whole graded record is 109 wins and 78 losses, 58 percent over 187 picks, and 42 of those 78 losses were draws. Our strong band has won 25 of 30. The Premier League column of that record is our joint weakest football column, level with Major League Soccer at 45 percent: 9 wins and 11 losses, 45 percent over 20 picks. We publish it because a tipster who only shows the leagues where the numbers look good is hiding something. The round six picks above are graded after full time and go into that column whether they win or lose.
Read next
- Liverpool vs Man City prediction: Anfield, 11 October
- Arsenal vs Leeds prediction: the cheapest draw of the round
- Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction and the goals line
- Football betting tips today: the live board
- All our predictions and the full graded record
- 100 sure predictions: why no pick is certain
- CAF Champions League fixtures 2026-27
- Responsible gambling and where to get help
Content on this site is published for information only and is not betting advice. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. 18+ only. Betting involves risk and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free and confidential help is available from the South African National Responsible Gambling Programme on 0800 006 008, 24 hours a day.