Football betting tips today, in one line: we publish a short list of daily tips built from win-probability data, each with a confidence score, and we grade every single one in public against the official result. Our current verified record is 109 wins from 187 graded picks (58%). See the full log on our Results board. If a tip loses, it stays on the record.
Predictions
Arsenal v Leeds United
Home win: Arsenal Good · 66%
Arsenal have won four of their five games and take 2.40 points per game to Leeds United's 1.80, with home advantage on top of that gap.
Emirates Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
FC Augsburg v Bayern Munich
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
WWK Arena, Augsburg · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
MEWA ARENA, Mainz · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Aston Villa v Brentford
Away win: Brentford Close · 48%
Brentford are unbeaten on 1.80 points per game against Aston Villa's 0.80, but three of their five games have been drawn, so the away win is no better than a coin flip.
Villa Park · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth
Home win: Chelsea Good · 62%
Chelsea take 1.40 points per game into a home game against a Bournemouth side still without a win and on 0.60.
Stamford Bridge · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Ipswich Town v Fulham
Home win: Ipswich Town Good · 61%
Ipswich have won two of five at 1.20 points per game. Fulham are nineteenth on two points and have scored five goals in five games.
Portman Road · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion
Away win: Brighton and Hove Albion Good · 57%
Brighton have the best attack in the division with 16 goals and take 2.00 points per game to Sunderland's 0.80.
Stadium of Light · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Alaves v Atletico Madrid
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns
To lift the trophy: Orlando Pirates Close · 53%
Most likely scores 1–1 13% · 1–0 10% · 0–1 9%
Pirates take 2.71 points per game to Sundowns’ 2.50 and won their semi-final 4-0 on aggregate. Graded on who lifts the trophy.
Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Inter Milan v Parma
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
San Siro, Milan · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur
Home win: Manchester United Good · 58%
Tottenham are bottom on two points with two goals in five games. United are on 1.00 points per game, so home advantage carries this one.
Old Trafford · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Barcelona v Getafe
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Napoli v Frosinone
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Real Madrid v Villarreal
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Brendan Allen v Christian Leroy Duncan
Brendan Allen to win Good · 56%
DraftKings prices Allen at -142 and Duncan at +120; with the bookmaker margin removed that is 56% for Allen. Time shown is the main card start.
Meta APEX, Las Vegas · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest
Home win: Crystal Palace Close · 42%
Only 0.20 points per game separate them and both have lost three of five, so the home lean is slight and the draw is live.
Selhurst Park · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Hull City v Everton
Home win: Hull City Close · 40%
Everton have drawn three of five and Hull two, and 0.20 points per game separate them, which makes this the most likely draw on the card.
The MKM Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this game yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Liverpool v Manchester City
Away win: Manchester City Close · 51%
City are the only side with a perfect record at 3.00 points per game, but Liverpool have drawn three of five and have not lost, so the margin at Anfield is thin.
Anfield · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Sassuolo v AC Milan
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this game yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this game yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Cagliari v Juventus
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Unipol Domus, Cagliari · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Coventry City v Newcastle United
Away win: Newcastle United Good · 55%
Newcastle take 1.60 points per game to Coventry's 0.60, and the promoted side have scored once in five games.
Coventry Building Society Arena · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this game yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Durban City v AmaZulu
Away win: AmaZulu Good · 56%
Most likely scores 1–1 14% · 1–0 13% · 0–1 13%
AmaZulu sit third on 16 points, and a win here takes them level with Orlando Pirates on 19.
Chatsworth Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Richards Bay v Mamelodi Sundowns
Away win: Mamelodi Sundowns Strong · 76%
Most likely scores 1–1 12% · 0–1 9% · 1–2 9%
The leaders are unbeaten in eight league games, while Richards Bay are still looking for a first win after seven.
Princess Magogo Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch
Home win: Kaizer Chiefs Close · 52%
Most likely scores 1–1 13% · 1–0 13% · 0–1 9%
Moved from 17 October to 13 October because Chiefs play Red Arrows away in the CAF Confederation Cup. Chiefs have drawn four of seven, and between them these two have drawn 7 of 14 league games, hence the close rating.
FNB Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Orlando Pirates v TS Galaxy
Home win: Orlando Pirates Strong · 71%
Most likely scores 1–0 15% · 2–0 12% · 1–1 12%
Brought forward from 18 October to 13 October by the league, confirmed on the SuperSport fixture list and by Soccerway as round 8. The widest points-per-game gap of the round at 1.86, and Pirates have won six of seven.
Orlando Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Denver Broncos v Seattle Seahawks
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this game yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Everton v Chelsea
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Hill Dickinson Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Espanyol v Atletico Madrid
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
RCDE Stadium, Barcelona · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Chippa United v Kruger United
Home win: Chippa United Close · 51%
Most likely scores 1–0 16% · 1–1 13% · 0–0 13%
Chippa have drawn five of seven, and Kruger have lost five, so the lean is to the home side with little margin.
Buffalo City Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Golden Arrows v Milford
Away win: Milford Close · 44%
Most likely scores 0–0 16% · 1–0 15% · 0–1 14%
Milford have taken 12 points to Golden Arrows’ 8, but Arrows have drawn five of seven, which keeps this one close.
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Brentford v Liverpool
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Gtech Community Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Fulham v Hull City
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Craven Cottage · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Manchester City v Ipswich Town
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Etihad Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Sekhukhune United v Marumo Gallants
Home win: Sekhukhune United Good · 69%
Most likely scores 1–0 14% · 1–1 13% · 0–0 10%
Marumo are bottom with two points from seven games, Sekhukhune have taken eleven.
Peter Mokaba Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Newcastle United v Aston Villa
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
St. James' Park · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Real Betis v Barcelona
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Estadio La Cartuja, Sevilla · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Allianz Arena, Munich · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Mike Malott v Joaquin Buckley
No pick No pick
No sportsbook price we can cite is available yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record. Time shown is the main card start.
Rogers Place, Edmonton · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Carlos Alcaraz v Rest of the field
Carlos Alcaraz to win the title Close · 42%
bet365 prices Alcaraz at 7/5 (2.40), an implied 42%, with Zverev next at 9/2 and Sinner absent injured. Time shown is the final.
Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Vitality Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
American Express Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Leeds United v Manchester United
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Elland Road · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Siwelele v Polokwane City
Away win: Polokwane City Close · 42%
Polokwane sit eleventh on seven points with four of their seven drawn, and Siwelele are fifteenth, so the lean is Polokwane with a high draw risk.
Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
The City Ground · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
AC Milan v Atalanta
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
San Siro, Milan · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Cleveland Browns v Baltimore Ravens
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this game yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Juventus v Lazio
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Allianz Stadium, Turin · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Real Madrid v Sevilla
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Detroit Pistons v Boston Celtics
Home win: Detroit Pistons Close · 53%
Last season’s East No. 1 at home to the No. 2. A coin flip with a home lean.
Detroit, Michigan · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Liverpool v Villarreal
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Anfield, Liverpool · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Manchester City v AEK Athens
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Etihad Stadium, Manchester · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Napoli v Bodo/Glimt
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Paris Saint-Germain v Barcelona
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
Parc des Princes, Paris · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid
No pick No pick
No sourced win probability is available for this match yet, so we publish no pick and nothing from it enters the record.
MHPArena, Stuttgart · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
New York Knicks v Philadelphia 76ers
Home win: New York Knicks Good · 64%
The defending champions host a team they swept 4-0 in last season’s playoffs.
Madison Square Garden, New York · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
San Antonio Spurs v Oklahoma City Thunder
Home win: San Antonio Spurs Close · 54%
A rematch of the 2026 West finals, which San Antonio won in seven games.
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Orlando Pirates v Kaizer Chiefs
Home win: Orlando Pirates Good · 58%
Most likely scores 1–0 13% · 1–1 12% · 2–0 10%
The Soweto derby. Pirates won the last one 3-0 in February, and it finished 1-1 in April.
Orlando Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
AmaZulu v Golden Arrows
Home win: AmaZulu Good · 57%
Most likely scores 1–0 16% · 0–0 14% · 1–1 13%
AmaZulu are third on 16 points, and the reason the pick is not higher is a Golden Arrows side that has drawn five of its seven league games.
Moses Mabhida Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
Mamelodi Sundowns v Durban City
Home win: Mamelodi Sundowns Strong · 79%
Most likely scores 1–0 14% · 1–1 12% · 2–0 11%
Sundowns have taken 20 of a possible 24 points, Durban City have one win in seven.
Loftus Versfeld Stadium · Full preview · All markets and free betslip
How today’s tips are built
Every tip on this page starts as a match win probability, not an opinion. We take model-based probabilities for each fixture, the same numbers you see on our homepage board, and only a small share of matches survive the cut. A fixture becomes a tip when the leading outcome clears 55% probability. Below that it is flagged as a close call, and we tell you so rather than dressing it up as a banker.
That filter is stricter than it sounds. On 19 August 2026, for example, ten MLS fixtures were on the board and only two cleared the good-pick threshold. Most tipster sites would still publish ten sure odds. We think publishing fewer, graded tips is the only version of this page worth your time. It is also the reason losses stay on the record instead of being deleted.
The list above updates itself. It shows every fixture on our board that kicks off today in South African time, and drops each one once it has finished. On days with nothing on, it shows the next fixtures we have picks for instead of an empty page.
How to read our confidence scores
| Label | Probability | What it means | Record so far |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong pick | 70% and above | Clear favourite on form, quality and venue. | 25W-5L (83%) |
| Good pick | 55 to 69% | Favourite with a real path to dropping points. | 47W-28L (63%) |
| Close call | Under 55% | Coin-flip territory. We name a lean, not a tip. | 37W-45L (45%) |
The table above is the most useful thing on this page, and the record column is live. The bands behave the way calibrated probabilities should: strong picks land most often, close calls least often. If you take one habit from us, make it this: bet the strong and good picks, read the close calls for interest, and never chase a coin-flip because a website sounded confident about it.
Where to find the rest of the board
Every fixture we cover, with all its markets (match result including the draw, double chance, draw no bet, over or under 2.5 goals and both teams to score), is on the homepage board, where you can also build a free-play betslip with virtual credits. For fixtures kicking off tomorrow, see tomorrow’s soccer predictions. For our single highest-conviction selection, the bet of the day page carries one pick only, and only when something clears 70%.
Staking: the part most tips pages skip
A hit rate near 60% loses money with bad staking and compounds nicely with sensible staking. Our position: flat stakes, sized by confidence band, never increased after a loss.
| Pick type | Suggested stake | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Strong (70%+) | 1–2% of bankroll | Best edge, still loses sometimes |
| Good (55–69%) | 0.5–1% | Positive expectation only at fair odds |
| Close call | 0–0.5% or skip | No demonstrated edge. Our own record proves it |
If the price on a strong pick is shorter than about 1.30, the bookmaker is charging more than the probability justifies and the correct play is usually no bet. Tips tell you who is likely to win. Only the odds tell you whether the bet is worth making.
Why trust these tips
Because you can check them. Every graded pick, win or loss, is listed with its final score on the Results board and updated after each round. A draw counts as a loss whenever our pick backed a winner. Fixtures we cannot verify against official results are voided, not quietly counted as wins. No tipster in the world wins every day. The honest ones show you the days they lost. Our full methodology lives on the predictions hub.
FAQ
Are the tips free?
Yes. Every tip on this page and the homepage board is free. We do not sell VIP fixed matches. Fixed-match sellers are scams by definition, and any site offering guaranteed wins should be avoided.
When is this page updated?
The list of today’s fixtures changes automatically with the date. New fixtures and picks are added each morning once they are verified, and results are graded after the final whistle.
What does our record actually mean?
So far we have 109 wins from 187 graded picks (58%). It means we are right more often than not on filtered picks, and wrong often enough that no single tip is a sure thing. Treat every tip accordingly.
Do you cover African leagues?
Yes. We cover the Betway Premiership in South Africa, with club pages for Kaizer Chiefs, Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns, plus Bafana Bafana and AFCON qualifiers. See the full PSL fixtures list.
Tips are information, not financial advice. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. 18+ · Responsible gambling resources